Insights

These views and opinions are those of the authors at the time of writing, may be subject to change, are for informational purposes only, and they should not be construed as investment advice or a recommendation for the purchase or sale of securities by Conning. The information may not be current and Conning has no obligation to provide any updates or changes. Individual portfolio management teams for Conning may have views and opinions and/or make investment decisions that, in certain instance, may not always be consistent with the views and opinions expressed therein. While any third-party data used is considered reliable, its accuracy is not guaranteed.

The Limitation Game - Understanding Model Risk

10/15/2015

Mathematical models are essential tools for the effective management of financial and insurance risks, yet every model has some limitations. It is important to understand these limitations if models are to be used effectively. Indeed, what is considered a limitation is likely to differ from one application to the next.


Liquidity ‒ Too Much of a Good Thing?

09/01/2015

It is said that the world is awash in liquidity, as quantitative easing has gone global over the past six years. Quantitative easing has greatly influenced the capital markets and dampened the level of government interest rates and risk premiums across all asset classes.


Beyond RBC - Rethinking ORSA for Competitive Advantage

07/01/2015

The NAIC RBC system provides an early warning system for regulators to identify weakly capitalized companies so that possible preemptive steps can be taken by the company, the regulators or both to head off or soften the effects of insolvency. 


Conning Releases Latest Semi-Annual State of the States Municipal Credit Report and Rankings (Q2, 2015)

05/12/2015

According to its most recent semi-annual State of the States Municipal Credit Research report  (Q2, 2015), insurance asset manager Conning continues to see improvement in aggregate state credit quality due to steady economic recovery combined with responsible state budget actions.



Crunching Credit - Best Practices in Modeling and Managing Credit Risk

05/01/2015

Investments in instruments carrying credit risk have become increasingly important across a number of sectors, especially for insurance firms and pension funds. The move toward larger allocations to credit has been driven by a sustained period of low yields, supply shortages for long maturities and deteriorating credit outlook for government debt, making riskier assets appear more attractive on a relative basis.


Voicing a View - The Rise of Custom Calibrations in Economic Scenario Generators

05/01/2015

Will interest rates fall or become negative in the next five years? What is the probability that the Eurozone breaks up in the next 12 months? What will be the value of the large cap equity index tomorrow? If we were to independently ask these questions to a number of investment and risk professionals we would likely receive a range of answers. Each would form an “Own View” based on past history, current information regarding the state of the economy and expert judgment.


Oil Prices - A Fluid Situation: Opportunities for Investors in the Energy Sector

03/01/2015

The one constant in the history of global oil prices is change. The current price drop, while it lasts, will benefit energy consumers more than it will hurt energy producers, and lower energy spending will stimulate the economies of oil importing countries. So on balance, this will benefit the larger economies around the world, including the U.S., China, Japan, U.K. and Europe. 


Municipal Duration and the Coming Change

01/01/2015

Historically, tax-exempt municipal bonds have exhibited lower price volatility than similar maturity Treasury bonds. That is, a municipal and Treasury bond with the same maturity have similar durations or price sensitivity with respect to changes in their yield to maturity.


Meet the New Fed Boss, Same as the Old Boss?

12/01/2014

The effective date for IFRS 9 is January 1, 2018; however, early adoption is permitted. (If a company elects early adoption, it must elect all aspects of IFRS 9 not just the impairment portion.)


Conning Releases Latest Semi-Annual State of the States Municipal Credit Report and Rankings (Q4, 2014)

11/18/2014

(Q4, 2014), insurance asset manager Conning sees improvement in aggregate state credit quality due to economic growth bolstering state revenues which has led to increases in fund balances for most states. While strong employment growth, higher consumer confidence, and improved housing prices are driving up revenue, the improvement is not uniform across all states.

 


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